By Philip J. Bona, AIA
The Challenge: America’s construction industry needs to change by adopting a set of principles and practices that meet the needs of the third millennium marketplace. We who lead and develop the built-environment that construction creates need to change in three ways: (1) establish an improved framework, or body of guiding principles and methodologies; (2) evolve the allocation of resources in all categories – information, material, financial, equipment, and human (skilled trades, supervision, design, quality inspectors, project managers, etc.); and (3) elevate our ethical standards, principles and practices.
Great strides have been made to upgrade construction equipment and materials over the past century. However, the construction process has not changed much since 1918, when President Woodrow Wilson recognized the importance of the construction industry in advancing the growth of the nation and the Associated General Contractors of America was formed. What have changed are the expectations, legal precedence, trust, respect, and relationships between the various participants who make up the construction industry. These issues are exacerbated by the practice of relying on the lowest design fees and low bid construction, the misuse of construction managers by developers, business owners, the public sector, and some homeowners, and the inefficient ways we design and build. Together they have caused industry-wide mistrust and a costly litigious environment in which the participants operate daily. This model of the construction industry will not be successful in meeting the future needs, values, and expectations of the American public.
The Opportunity: After World War II, the construction industry in the United States designed and constructed metropolitan, suburban, and rural built environments with such magnitude and fervor as never before seen in history. In those sixty years, our nation increased in population by 225% from 130 million to 293 million as of the year 2004.1 Based on current average demographic projections, the U.S. will grow 20% by 2025 and 50% or to 392 million by 2050.2 To accommodate this growth trend, roughly 25 million additional housing units3 need to be built across the country by 2025; over 4 million units projected in California4 alone. This is in addition to the non-residential buildings and utility infrastructure needed to support new jobs for this growth. Much of the Post WWII building stock is over 50 years old and, remodeled or not is generally past its expected life.5 Further as of 2005, 49 states have adopted the new International Building Code6 which sets updated uniform standards for building construction nationwide, particularly regarding health, safety, and welfare design issues. It better addresses such forces as earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes, landslides, fires, and explosions. These building standards along with public perception and growth demands will drive the need for these buildings to be more durable, safe, secure, technologically smart, environmentally sustainable, quicker to build, and cost effective. Clients will demand a more evolved, trustworthy and successful method of delivery.
By 2050, as a result of developments in information technology, bio-science, neuro-science, new building material technologies, and advanced prefabrication opportunities, the TV cartoon world of the “Jetsons” may be closer than we think to our future. A more educated American culture will be even more affected by its global neighbors, and by its proclivity for more “cool” technology, popular style, and affordability. Truly, yesterday’s fantasy will be tomorrow’s process for the art and science of design, manufacturing and construction. Together these trends will force the hand of industry towards change.
The Importance: Recognizing that change is always riddled with anxiety and mistrust, there are still many obvious reasons why this change must begin. Even though demand is increasing, statistics indicate that the numbers of carpenters, plumbers, electricians, bricklayers, and sheet metal workers as well as licensed architects and building systems engineers appear to be declining7. On the other hand general contractors who contract-out trade work and construction managers are increasing at steady pace.8 As skilled tradesmen mature, they have moved into management either as project managers or construction managers. Our industry appears to be growing top-heavy with management personnel. Many construction managers seem to avoid risk and are in a constant power struggle for control with the constructors and architects who carry the risk along with the owner. Typically this leads to aggravated dispute, arbitration or litigation and much cost. This precedent has lead to an imbalance between those who create, those who manage, those who construct, those who insure, and those who pay for it.
Fix Our Broken Education and Training System: On another front, college educated individuals make up a far greater segment of the workforce today9 and that “blue collar get your hands dirty” work ethic of so many of our parents and grandparents seems to have succumbed to a youth culture that is far more cerebral and demanding of immediate gratification. While trade unions continue to promote apprenticeship programs, fewer of our youth are signing up. One of the forces impacting this vocational training has been the historic gap between academic study and practical experience. Another is the trend toward decreased funding for a balanced education in this country.
Our society has allowed its governance to systematically eliminate the arts and vocational training from our children’s learning process, their perceptions, and their priorities. Currently, academia’s priorities are the rudiments of reading, writing, and arithmetic which are crucial and fundamental tools. However, without the arts, auto shop, wood shop, metal shop, drafting, home economics, sewing, drama, and music, it is difficult for our youth to recognize the importance of many of the fundamentals of our culture. By eliminating educational and vocational options for those young adults who are not comfortable with the rudiments of academic work, we have eliminated choice, impacted valuable apprenticeship programs, reduced the workforce, and increased joblessness, homelessness, and the need to incarcerate those who would rather spend their day in a group standing on a corner than to become valued as skilled laborers or better.
There will not be enough skilled trade workers; there will be an overabundance of non-skilled laborers to fill that void; and therefore the quality of construction work, in particular, will be undervalued. Due to this imbalance in the workforce, the level of dissatisfaction by the various industry partners and by society, as clients, will continue to increase along with negativity, lawsuits, and cost. Therefore societies’ expectation for a sustainable built environment may still be far in the future. With the goal of sustainability, society will eventually reject the earlier notion of “planned obsolescence” and demand buildings that are built with pride of workmanship, longevity, and quality recycled materials. These trends contribute to the need for change in the construction industry.
Early Conclusions: The construction industry alone is not responsible for repairing all components of an old and broken system. Though considering these facts, there are many good reasons for the building industry to step up and begin to bring all the parts, pieces, and people together into one symbiotic collaborative and positive set of practices and interrelationships. This new shared vision will be based on conducting business responsibly with the highest level of integrity, ethics and trust, pride of workmanship, certified training standards and apprenticeship, quality control and accountability, and recognition of the value of the individual. The industry needs to realize these trends and proactively retool its structure and methods so that its outcomes are good for the environment, for the individual, for the community, for humanity, for business, and for America – in that order.
(This is the first of a three part series that will be completed in the next two issues.)
Notes:
1 U.S. Census Bureau 2004 sets U.S. population at 293,027,571.
2 “Consequences” Vol. 1, No. 2, Summer1995 – “Global and U.S. National Population Trends by Carl Haub; updated 11-11-2004.
3 Based on one housing unit to be built for every four individuals.
4 Raising the Roof: California Housing Development Projections and Constraints, 1997-2020; John D. Landis, Department of City & Regional Planning, University of California, Berkeley.
5 Based on expected useful life of 30-50 years for majority of buildings; “Life-Cycle Cost Analysis by Sieglinde Fuller, National Institute of Standards and Technology through National Institute of Building Sciences - 2005.
6 International Building Code developed by the International Code Commission and released in 2003.
7 The Coming Crisis in Architecture by Dr Garry Stevens; (http://www.archsoc.com/kcas/OccupDecline.html - 2005). A serious lack of skilled workers will begin in 2005 and grow to 5.3 million by 2010, and to 14 million by 2015. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics).
8 Construction managers held 389,000 jobs in 2002 (three times more jobs than Architects) and Employment opportunities are expected to grow 5% by 2012; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections.
9 By 2008 the number of young adult workers, from 25 to 40 year olds, will decline by 1.7 million. That's 1.7 million less workers to replace the nearly 77 million baby boomers who will be eligible for retirement; Source: Beyond Workforce 2020, Hudson Institute.
Philip J. Bona, Copyright © 2005
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